History dependence of change in reach as a function of reward history for the continuous probabilistic task.
We performed a regression analysis on the change in absolute reach direction (ΔXt = Xt − Xt−1) as a function of whether the last three trials were successes or failures. That is, we fit ΔXt = w0 +w1ft−1 +w2ft−2 +w3ft−3, where ft is 1 if trial t was a failure and 0 for success. Note that w0 reflects the change in reach when there were no failures in the previous three trials. This decreased with age and may represent decreasing sensorimotor noise (w0: 100 out of 111 participants significant at p=0.05; correlation with age R2 = 0.122, F = 15.2, p < 0.001). w1, w2 and w3 reflect the contribution of failing on the previous trial, two and three trials ago, respectively to the change in reach. The change in reach after one failure increased with age (w1: n = 66 out of 111 participants significant; correlation with age R2 = 0.139, F = 17.6, p < 0.001). The effect of failure for two and three trials back were mostly not significant (w2: 20 out of 111 participants significant; correlation with age R2 = 0.0166, F = 1.83, p = 0.178; w3: 17 out of 111 participants significant; correlation with age R2 = 0.119, F = 14.7, p < 0.001). For the adults, the average of all of the data points is plotted as a horizontal line.