Productivity loss associated with functional disability in a contemporary small-scale subsistence population
Figures

Tsimane women weaving bags used for carrying diverse objects (left panel; photo credit: Jonathan Stieglitz) and ground mats used for resting (right panel; photo credit: Arnulfo Cary).
Finished woven products are also shown in each panel.

Top: Proportion of Tsimane men with thoracic vertebral body fracture (grade ≥1) by age, estimated using the loess function.
The shaded region shows ±1 SE, and jittered data points represent fracture status. Bottom: scatterplot of thoracic vertebral body bone mineral density (BMD) by age and fracture status, including linear regression lines for each fracture status. N = 256 men.

Top: Proportion of Tsimane women with thoracic vertebral body fracture (grade ≥1) by age, estimated using the loess function.
The shaded region shows ±1 SE, and jittered data points represent fracture status. Bottom: scatterplot of thoracic vertebral body bone mineral density (BMD) by age and fracture status, including linear regression lines for each fracture status. N = 237 women.

Top: Age-specific productivity (kcals/day) for hunting by men’s fracture status, and for fishing (all men).
Bottom: expected cumulative future productivity (millions of kcals) from age x onward, discounted by mortality, for hunting by men’s fracture status, and for fishing (all men).

Top: Age-specific productivity (kcals/day) for hunting by men’s fracture status and bone mineral density (BMD), and for fishing (all men).
For illustrative purposes we show daily hunting production for men with +1 SD and −1 SD of the BMD mean. Bottom: expected cumulative future productivity (millions of kcals) from age x onward, discounted by mortality, for hunting by men’s fracture status and BMD, and for fishing (all men).
Tables
Percentage of men (95% CI) who completely ceased hunting by age and thoracic vertebral body fracture status.
Age category (years) | % ceased hunting with fracture | N | % ceased hunting without fracture | N |
---|---|---|---|---|
40–49 | 8^ (<1–19) | 26 | 0 (-----) | 55 |
50–59 | 33*** (17–50) | 36 | 4 (<1–9) | 56 |
60–69 | 50^ (24–76) | 18 | 27 (12–42) | 37 |
70+ | 100* (-----) | 12† | 63 (36–89) | 16‡ |
Total | 38*** (28–48) | 92 | 13 (8–19) | 164 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (χ² or Fisher’s Exact Test [vs. no fracture]).
†Max age = 83 years (mean ± SD = 75 ± 4).
-
‡Max age = 81 years (mean ± SD = 74 ± 3).
Percentage of men (95% CI) who completely ceased tree chopping by age and thoracic vertebral body fracture status.
Age category (years) | % ceased tree chopping with fracture | N | % ceased tree chopping without fracture | N |
---|---|---|---|---|
40–49 | 15** (1–30) | 26 | 0 (-----) | 55 |
50–59 | 39*** (22–56) | 36 | 4 (<1–9) | 56 |
60–69 | 67 (43–91) | 18 | 54 (37–71) | 37 |
70+ | 100 (-----) | 12† | 81 (60–100) | 16‡ |
Total | 46*** (35–56) | 92 | 21 (15–28) | 164 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (χ² or Fisher’s Exact Test [vs. no fracture]).
†Max age = 83 years (mean ± SD = 75 ± 4).
-
‡Max age = 81 years (mean ± SD = 74 ± 3).
Percentage of women (95% CI) who completely ceased weaving by age and thoracic vertebral body fracture status.
Age category (years) | % ceased weaving with fracture | N | % ceased weaving without fracture | N |
---|---|---|---|---|
40–49 | 0 (-----) | 11 | 0 (-----) | 72 |
50–59 | 14 (<1–29) | 22 | 5 (<1–11) | 60 |
60–69 | 33 (<1–72) | 9 | 24 (10–39) | 37 |
70+ | 75 (<1–100) | 4† | 55 (32–77) | 22‡ |
Total | 20 (8–31) | 46 | 13 (8–17) | 191 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (χ² or Fisher’s Exact Test [vs. no fracture]).
†Max age = 91 years (mean ± SD = 80 ± 9).
-
‡Max age = 91 years (mean ± SD = 77 ± 6).
Percentage of adults (95% CI) who are unable to walk a full day by age and thoracic vertebral body fracture status.
Age category (years) | % unable to walk all day with fracture | N | % unable to walk all day without fracture | N |
---|---|---|---|---|
40–49 | 49*** (32–66) | 37 | 19 (12–26) | 127 |
50–59 | 64*** (51–77) | 58 | 27 (19–35) | 116 |
60–69 | 89** (76–100) | 27 | 64 (52–75) | 74 |
70+ | 100^ (-----) | 16† | 84 (72–96) | 38‡ |
Total | 69*** (61–77) | 138 | 38 (33–43) | 355 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (χ² or Fisher’s Exact Test [vs. no fracture]).
†Max age = 91 years (mean ± SD = 76 ± 6).
-
‡Max age = 91 years (mean ± SD = 76 ± 5).
Descriptives for study variables*.
Variable | N | Mean | SD | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thoracic vertebral body BMD (mg/cm3) | 493 | 165.5 | 41.3 | 68.9 | 315.0 |
Any thoracic vertebral body (T6–T12) fracture (proportion grade ≥1) | 493 | 0.28 | 0.45 | 0 | 1 |
Any thoracic vertebral body (T6–T12) fracture (proportion grade ≥2) | 493 | 0.09 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 |
Age (years) | 493 | 55.9 | 9.9 | 41.2 | 91.0 |
Sex (proportion male) | 493 | 0.52 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
Height (cm) | 489 | 156.1 | 7.6 | 136.0 | 176.3 |
Weight (kg) | 489 | 58.7 | 9.8 | 34.6 | 96.9 |
Body fat (%) | 445 | 21.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 46.7 |
Fat mass (kg) | 445 | 12.9 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 42.1 |
Fat-free mass (kg) | 445 | 45.8 | 7.9 | 27.8 | 73.1 |
-
*Data were missing for various reasons (see Appendix for details).
Percentage of men (95% CI) who completely ceased hunting by age and thoracic vertebral body fracture status (fracture grade ≥2).
Age category (years) | % ceased hunting with fracture | N | % ceased hunting without fracture | N |
---|---|---|---|---|
40–49 | 0 (-----) | 4 | 3 (<1–6) | 77 |
50–59 | 21 (<1–46) | 14 | 14 (6–22) | 78 |
60–69 | 60 (<1–1) | 5 | 32 (19–45) | 50 |
70+ | 100 (-----) | 6† | 73 (53–93) | 22‡ |
Total | 41** (22–60) | 29 | 20 (15–25) | 227 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (χ² or Fisher’s Exact Test [vs. no fracture]).
†Max age = 83 years (mean ± SD = 74 ± 4).
-
‡Max age = 83 years (mean ± SD = 74 ± 3).
Binary logistic regression: effect of thoracic vertebral body fracture on the probability of hunting cessation after adjusting for age (model 1; n = 256 men).
Model 2 additionally includes as a covariate thoracic vertebral body bone mineral density (BMD). Shown are odds ratios (95% CIs); continuous variables are z-scored.
Parameter | Model 1 | Model 2 (+BMD) |
---|---|---|
Any thoracic vertebral body fracture (grade ≥1; vs. none) | 7.3***(3.3–17.6) | 7.4***(3.3–18.2) |
Age (years) | 5.2***(3.4–8.5) | 4.1***(2.5–7.0) |
Thoracic vertebral body BMD (mg/cm3) | ----- | 0.62*(0.38–0.99) |
AIC | 178.55 | 176.61 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (refer to main text for FDR q-values)
Tsimane men’s age-specific daily hunting production by thoracic vertebral body fracture status.
Age (years) | (A) Hunt cals/day† | (B) Probability still hunting: no fracture‡ | (C) Probability still hunting: fracture‡ | (D) Hunt cals/day: no fracture§ | (E) Hunt cals/day: fracture¶ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
40 | 1872 | 0.995 | 0.968 | 1864 | 1812 |
41 | 1884 | 0.995 | 0.962 | 1874 | 1813 |
42 | 1888 | 0.994 | 0.955 | 1875 | 1803 |
43 | 1882 | 0.992 | 0.947 | 1868 | 1783 |
44 | 1870 | 0.991 | 0.938 | 1853 | 1754 |
45 | 1855 | 0.989 | 0.927 | 1835 | 1720 |
46 | 1836 | 0.987 | 0.915 | 1813 | 1680 |
47 | 1815 | 0.985 | 0.900 | 1787 | 1634 |
48 | 1790 | 0.982 | 0.884 | 1758 | 1582 |
49 | 1762 | 0.979 | 0.865 | 1725 | 1524 |
50 | 1731 | 0.975 | 0.843 | 1687 | 1459 |
51 | 1697 | 0.970 | 0.819 | 1646 | 1389 |
52 | 1659 | 0.965 | 0.792 | 1601 | 1314 |
53 | 1619 | 0.958 | 0.762 | 1551 | 1233 |
54 | 1575 | 0.951 | 0.729 | 1498 | 1148 |
55 | 1528 | 0.942 | 0.694 | 1440 | 1060 |
56 | 1478 | 0.932 | 0.656 | 1378 | 969 |
57 | 1425 | 0.920 | 0.616 | 1311 | 878 |
58 | 1369 | 0.906 | 0.574 | 1241 | 786 |
59 | 1310 | 0.891 | 0.531 | 1166 | 696 |
60 | 1247 | 0.873 | 0.488 | 1088 | 609 |
61 | 1181 | 0.852 | 0.445 | 1007 | 526 |
62 | 1113 | 0.829 | 0.403 | 923 | 449 |
63 | 1041 | 0.803 | 0.362 | 836 | 377 |
64 | 966 | 0.775 | 0.323 | 748 | 313 |
65 | 888 | 0.743 | 0.287 | 660 | 255 |
66 | 807 | 0.709 | 0.253 | 572 | 204 |
67 | 723 | 0.672 | 0.222 | 486 | 160 |
68 | 636 | 0.633 | 0.193 | 402 | 123 |
69 | 546 | 0.592 | 0.168 | 323 | 92 |
70 | 452 | 0.549 | 0.145 | 249 | 66 |
71 | 356 | 0.506 | 0.125 | 180 | 44 |
72 | 257 | 0.463 | 0.107 | 119 | 28 |
73 | 154 | 0.421 | 0.092 | 65 | 14 |
74 | 49 | 0.379 | 0.078 | 19 | 4 |
75 | 0 | 0.339 | 0.067 | 0 | 0 |
76 | 0 | 0.302 | 0.057 | 0 | 0 |
77 | 0 | 0.267 | 0.048 | 0 | 0 |
78 | 0 | 0.234 | 0.041 | 0 | 0 |
79 | 0 | 0.205 | 0.035 | 0 | 0 |
80 | 0 | 0.178 | 0.029 | 0 | 0 |
-
†Predicted values (loess fit). From Jan 2005 to Dec 2009 adults were interviewed once or twice per week about time allocation and production for each co-resident individual over age 6 during the previous 2 days (n = 1245 individuals from 11 villages).
‡Predicted from binary logistic regression of whether one still hunts on thoracic vertebral body fracture status (i.e. grade ≥1; vs. none) and age.
-
§Derived by multiplying value in column A by value in column B.
¶Derived by multiplying value in column A by value in column C.
Tsimane men’s age-specific daily hunting production by thoracic vertebral body fracture status and thoracic vertebral body bone mineral density (BMD).
For illustrative purposes we report estimates holding BMD at +1 SD and −1 SD of the mean.
Age (years) | (A) Hunt cals/day* | (B) Probability still hunting: no fracture and +1 SD BMD† | (C) Probability still hunting: no fracture and −1 SD BMD† | (D) Probability still hunting: fracture and +1 SD BMD† | (E) Probability still hunting: fracture and −1 SD BMD† | (F) Hunt cals/day: no fracture and +1 SD BMD‡ | (G) Hunt cals/day: no fracture and −1 SD BMD§ | (H) Hunt cals/day: fracture and +1 SD BMD¶ | (I) Hunt cals/day: fracture and −1 SD BMD** |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
40 | 1872 | 0.996 | 0.990 | 0.971 | 0.930 | 1865 | 1853 | 1819 | 1741 |
41 | 1884 | 0.995 | 0.988 | 0.967 | 0.920 | 1875 | 1862 | 1822 | 1732 |
42 | 1888 | 0.995 | 0.987 | 0.962 | 0.908 | 1878 | 1863 | 1816 | 1714 |
43 | 1882 | 0.994 | 0.984 | 0.956 | 0.895 | 1870 | 1853 | 1800 | 1684 |
44 | 1870 | 0.993 | 0.982 | 0.950 | 0.880 | 1857 | 1836 | 1776 | 1646 |
45 | 1855 | 0.992 | 0.979 | 0.942 | 0.864 | 1840 | 1816 | 1747 | 1602 |
46 | 1836 | 0.990 | 0.976 | 0.933 | 0.845 | 1819 | 1792 | 1714 | 1552 |
47 | 1815 | 0.989 | 0.972 | 0.924 | 0.825 | 1795 | 1764 | 1676 | 1497 |
48 | 1790 | 0.987 | 0.968 | 0.913 | 0.802 | 1767 | 1732 | 1633 | 1436 |
49 | 1762 | 0.985 | 0.963 | 0.900 | 0.778 | 1736 | 1697 | 1586 | 1371 |
50 | 1731 | 0.983 | 0.957 | 0.886 | 0.751 | 1701 | 1657 | 1533 | 1301 |
51 | 1697 | 0.980 | 0.951 | 0.870 | 0.723 | 1664 | 1614 | 1476 | 1226 |
52 | 1659 | 0.977 | 0.943 | 0.852 | 0.692 | 1621 | 1565 | 1414 | 1148 |
53 | 1619 | 0.974 | 0.935 | 0.833 | 0.660 | 1576 | 1514 | 1348 | 1068 |
54 | 1575 | 0.970 | 0.925 | 0.811 | 0.626 | 1527 | 1458 | 1278 | 986 |
55 | 1528 | 0.965 | 0.915 | 0.788 | 0.591 | 1474 | 1397 | 1203 | 902 |
56 | 1478 | 0.960 | 0.902 | 0.762 | 0.554 | 1418 | 1334 | 1126 | 819 |
57 | 1425 | 0.953 | 0.888 | 0.734 | 0.518 | 1359 | 1266 | 1046 | 738 |
58 | 1369 | 0.946 | 0.873 | 0.704 | 0.481 | 1296 | 1195 | 964 | 658 |
59 | 1310 | 0.938 | 0.856 | 0.672 | 0.444 | 1229 | 1121 | 881 | 582 |
60 | 1247 | 0.929 | 0.836 | 0.639 | 0.408 | 1159 | 1043 | 797 | 509 |
61 | 1181 | 0.919 | 0.815 | 0.604 | 0.373 | 1085 | 963 | 714 | 440 |
62 | 1113 | 0.907 | 0.792 | 0.568 | 0.339 | 1010 | 881 | 633 | 377 |
63 | 1041 | 0.894 | 0.766 | 0.532 | 0.307 | 931 | 798 | 554 | 319 |
64 | 966 | 0.879 | 0.739 | 0.495 | 0.276 | 849 | 714 | 478 | 267 |
65 | 888 | 0.862 | 0.709 | 0.458 | 0.248 | 766 | 630 | 407 | 220 |
66 | 807 | 0.844 | 0.678 | 0.422 | 0.221 | 681 | 547 | 340 | 178 |
67 | 723 | 0.823 | 0.645 | 0.386 | 0.197 | 595 | 466 | 279 | 142 |
68 | 636 | 0.801 | 0.610 | 0.352 | 0.174 | 509 | 388 | 224 | 111 |
69 | 546 | 0.776 | 0.575 | 0.319 | 0.154 | 424 | 314 | 174 | 84 |
70 | 452 | 0.750 | 0.538 | 0.288 | 0.136 | 339 | 243 | 130 | 61 |
71 | 356 | 0.721 | 0.501 | 0.258 | 0.119 | 257 | 178 | 92 | 42 |
72 | 257 | 0.690 | 0.464 | 0.231 | 0.105 | 177 | 119 | 59 | 27 |
73 | 154 | 0.658 | 0.428 | 0.206 | 0.092 | 101 | 66 | 32 | 14 |
74 | 49 | 0.624 | 0.392 | 0.183 | 0.080 | 31 | 19 | 9 | 4 |
75 | 0 | 0.588 | 0.358 | 0.162 | 0.070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
76 | 0 | 0.552 | 0.324 | 0.143 | 0.061 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
77 | 0 | 0.515 | 0.293 | 0.125 | 0.053 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
78 | 0 | 0.479 | 0.263 | 0.110 | 0.046 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
79 | 0 | 0.442 | 0.236 | 0.096 | 0.040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
80 | 0 | 0.406 | 0.210 | 0.084 | 0.035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
-
*Predicted values (loess fit). From Jan 2005 to Dec 2009 adults were interviewed once or twice per week about time allocation and production for each co-resident individual over age 6 during the previous 2 days (n = 1245 individuals from 11 villages).
†Predicted from binary logistic regression of whether one still hunts on thoracic vertebral body fracture status (i.e. grade ≥1; vs. none), BMD (mg/cm3) and age (years).
-
‡Derived by multiplying value in column A by value in column B.
§Derived by multiplying value in column A by value in column C.
-
¶Derived by multiplying value in column A by value in column D.
**Derived by multiplying value in column A by value in column E.
Binary logistic regression: effect of thoracic vertebral body fracture on the probability of tree chopping cessation after adjusting for age (model 1; n = 256 men).
Model 2 additionally includes as a covariate thoracic vertebral body bone mineral density (BMD). Shown are odds ratios (95% CIs); continuous variables are z-scored.
Parameter | Model 1 | Model 2 (+BMD) |
---|---|---|
Any thoracic vertebral body fracture (grade ≥1; vs. none) | 6.9***(3.1–16.6) | 6.8***(3.1–16.6) |
Age (years) | 8.0***(4.9–13.9) | 6.8***(4.0–12.4) |
Thoracic vertebral body BMD (mg/cm3) | ----- | 0.75 (0.47–1.16) |
AIC | 183.41 | 183.75 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (refer to main text for FDR q-values).
Binary logistic regression: effect of thoracic vertebral body fracture on the probability of weaving cessation after adjusting for age (model 1; n = 237 women).
Model 2 additionally includes as a covariate thoracic vertebral body bone mineral density (BMD). Shown are odds ratios (95% CIs); continuous variables are z-scored.
Parameter | Model 1 | Model 2 (+BMD) |
---|---|---|
Any thoracic vertebral body fracture (grade ≥1; vs. none) | 2.2 (0.8–6.4) | 1.8 (0.6–5.4) |
Age (years) | 4.9***(3.1–8.6) | 3.3***(1.8–6.6) |
Thoracic vertebral body BMD (mg/cm3) | ----- | 0.51^(0.23–1.05) |
AIC | 134.52 | 133.18 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (refer to main text for FDR q-values).
Self-reported reasons for weaving cessation by thoracic vertebral body fracture status.
Shown are percentages of women reporting a given reason.
Reason for weaving cessation | Fracture (n = 9) | No fracture (n = 24) | Total (n = 33) |
---|---|---|---|
Problem with hips | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Problem with back | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Problem with fingers | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Problem with hands (other than fingers) | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Any problem with hips, back, or hands | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Difficulty sitting | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Difficulty seeing | 89 | 88 | 88 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (χ² or Fisher’s Exact test [vs. no fracture]).
Binary logistic regression: effect of thoracic vertebral body fracture on the probability of not being able to walk a full day after adjusting for age and sex (model 1; n = 493 adults).
Model 2 additionally includes as a covariate thoracic vertebral body bone mineral density (BMD). Shown are odds ratios (95% CIs); continuous variables are z-scored. Interaction terms between sex and either fracture, age or BMD do not yield significant parameter estimates and are not shown.
Parameter | Model 1 | Model 2 (+BMD) |
---|---|---|
Any thoracic vertebral body fracture (grade ≥1; vs. none) | 8.2***(4.8–14.5) | 7.8***(4.5–13.8) |
Age (years) | 4.0***(3.1–5.4) | 3.4***(2.4–4.8) |
Sex = male | 0.19***(0.11–0.31) | 0.21***(0.12–0.34) |
Thoracic vertebral body BMD (mg/cm3) | ----- | 0.77^(0.57–1.03) |
AIC | 479.60 | 478.52 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (refer to main text for FDR q-values).
Self-reported reasons for hunting cessation by thoracic vertebral body fracture status.
Shown are percentages of men reporting a given reason.
Reason for hunting cessation | Fracture (n = 34) | No fracture (n = 22) | Total (n = 56†) |
---|---|---|---|
Problem with hips | 29**‡ | 0 | 18 |
Problem with back | 53 | 59 | 55 |
Problem with arms | 12 | 23 | 16 |
Problem with legs | 56 | 55 | 55 |
Any problem with hips, back, or limbs | 77 | 86 | 80 |
Feels weak | 29^ | 50 | 38 |
Tires easily | 59 | 64 | 61 |
Tires easily or feels weak | 65 | 77 | 70 |
Difficulty hearing | 38 | 50 | 43 |
Difficulty seeing | 62 | 77 | 68 |
Difficulty hearing or seeing | 65 | 82 | 71 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (χ² or Fisher’s Exact test [vs. no fracture]).
†Fracture data are missing for one man. For another man self-reported data are missing.
-
‡FDR q = 0.012.
Note: only q-values ≤0.05 are reported.
Self-reported reasons for tree chopping cessation by thoracic vertebral body fracture status.
Shown are percentages of men reporting a given reason.
Reason for tree chopping cessation | Fracture (n = 41) | No fracture (n = 35) | Total (n = 76†) |
---|---|---|---|
Problem with hips | 29*‡ | 9 | 20 |
Problem with back | 59 | 71 | 64 |
Problem with arms | 66^ | 83 | 74 |
Problem with legs | 29 | 26 | 28 |
Any problem with hips, back, or limbs | 83 | 94 | 88 |
Feels weak | 54 | 54 | 54 |
Tires easily | 63 | 71 | 67 |
Tires easily or feels weak | 80 | 83 | 82 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (χ² or Fisher’s Exact test [vs. no fracture]).
†Fracture data are missing for one man. For another man self-reported data are missing.
-
‡FDR q = 0.036.
Note: only q-values ≤0.05 are reported.
Self-reported reasons for inability to walk all day by thoracic vertebral body fracture status.
Shown are percentages of adults (pooled sexes) reporting a given reason.
Reason for inability to walk all day | Fracture (n = 95) | No fracture (n = 134) | Total (n = 229†) |
---|---|---|---|
Problem with hips | 39 | 39 | 39 |
Problem with back | 61 | 69 | 66 |
Problem with arms | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Problem with legs | 81 | 86 | 84 |
Any problem with hips, back, or limbs | 88 | 93 | 91 |
Feels weak | 29 | 31 | 31 |
Tires easily | 71 | 60 | 65 |
Tires easily or feels weak | 76 | 69 | 72 |
-
^p≤0.1, *p≤0.05, **p≤0.01, ***p≤0.001 (χ² or Fisher’s Exact test [vs. no fracture]).
†Fracture data are missing for one adult.